To estimate the value of a real estate through the capitalization of the incomes, the determination of the suitable cap rate is generally make with the analogical process. This is usually inferred by a price-earnings ratio of similar investments. The analogy concerns the risk and the duration of the investment. There is a wide range of methods to rationalize the indirect valuation of the cap rate. However, in all these methods the appraisal holds uncertainty. In this paper a methodology which removes uncertainty in the valuation of the cap rate is proposed. In this method the uncertainty is transformed in risk. The aim is achieved by the combination of the formal logic of the Ellwood’s model and the Real Options Analysis. Therefore, the algorithm defined has been implemented in a software for the real estate appraisal, described by an immediate and simply user interface.

La valutazione del rischio nell’analisi finanziaria di Ellwood per la stima indiretta di immobili urbani

MANGANELLI, BENEDETTO;
2009

Abstract

To estimate the value of a real estate through the capitalization of the incomes, the determination of the suitable cap rate is generally make with the analogical process. This is usually inferred by a price-earnings ratio of similar investments. The analogy concerns the risk and the duration of the investment. There is a wide range of methods to rationalize the indirect valuation of the cap rate. However, in all these methods the appraisal holds uncertainty. In this paper a methodology which removes uncertainty in the valuation of the cap rate is proposed. In this method the uncertainty is transformed in risk. The aim is achieved by the combination of the formal logic of the Ellwood’s model and the Real Options Analysis. Therefore, the algorithm defined has been implemented in a software for the real estate appraisal, described by an immediate and simply user interface.
File in questo prodotto:
File Dimensione Formato  
articolo su AESTIMUM 55.pdf

non disponibili

Tipologia: Documento in Post-print
Licenza: DRM non definito
Dimensione 980.51 kB
Formato Adobe PDF
980.51 kB Adobe PDF   Visualizza/Apri   Richiedi una copia

I documenti in IRIS sono protetti da copyright e tutti i diritti sono riservati, salvo diversa indicazione.

Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: http://hdl.handle.net/11563/6454
 Attenzione

Attenzione! I dati visualizzati non sono stati sottoposti a validazione da parte dell'ateneo

Citazioni
  • ???jsp.display-item.citation.pmc??? ND
  • Scopus ND
  • ???jsp.display-item.citation.isi??? ND
social impact